WATCH THE BOXER 

The following information was released by Watchman Richard Allison. The reason I am sharing it here on the blog is because of how profound it is, especially as we have entered a time of “smoke and mirrors”.

Everything we see presents a false picture. Even the ceasefire appears to be a diversion, shifting our focus away from what is happening right in front of our eyes.

Allison is presenting a picture of what is moving closer to the East, showing how the ceasefire is blinding the world to what is coming next.

The following information contains some technical military detail, but that is precisely the point he is making—leading to his conclusion about what we should be watching.

As watchmen, there is a window Allison is revealing for us to take note of.

Take a moment and allow this reality to unfold before your eyes.

USS AND THE FINAL MOVE

On March 18, the USS Boxer Amphibious Ready Group departed San Diego ahead of schedule.

Boxer is a Wasp class amphibious assault ship carrying F 35B stealth fighters, MV 22 Ospreys, helicopters, landing craft, and hovercraft.

Alongside her are the USS Portland and the USS Comstock. Embarked across the group are approximately 2,500 Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit.

This is not a peacekeeping formation. It is a forcible entry capability.

The Boxer arrived in Hawaii on March 30 and departed Pearl Harbor on April 2. From Hawaii to the Gulf of Oman is roughly 9,000 to 10,000 nautical miles. At sustained transit speed, that places arrival in the April 20 to April 22 window, depending on routing and operational adjustments.

Hold that window.

USS Tripoli Amphibious Ready Group

The USS Tripoli Amphibious Ready Group entered CENTCOM waters on March 28 carrying roughly 3,500 Marines and sailors from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit. It is already in theater and operational. That gives the United States two big deck amphibious assault ships, both capable of launching F 35Bs, with a combined Marine force approaching 5,000 personnel.

82nd Airborne Division Immediate Response Force

On March 25, elements of the 82nd Airborne Division Immediate Response Force, approximately 2,000 paratroopers, deployed forward alongside a division level headquarters under Maj Gen Brandon Tegtmeier to establish command and control for joint operations.

You do not deploy a division headquarters to manage a ceasefire. You deploy it to coordinate a multi domain operation across air, land, and sea, and the Boxer is not coming alone.

1.USS Abraham Lincoln

The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group has been conducting nonstop combat operations from the Arabian Sea since late January. It has been the tip of the spear from the beginning.

2. USS George H W Bush

On March 31, the USS George H W Bush carrier strike group departed Naval Station Norfolk with Carrier Air Wing 7 and over 5,000 sailors. The Bush carries FA18 Super Hornets, F 35C stealth fighters, E A 18G Growler electronic warfare aircraft, and E 2D Hawkeye airborne early warning planes. Alongside her are the destroyers USS Ross, USS Donald Cook, and USS Mason. Transit time places arrival between April 8 and April 14.

3. USS Gerald R Ford

The USS Gerald R Ford, the most advanced carrier in the fleet, was pulled from combat operations in the Red Sea after a fire broke out on March 12. The Ford departed Split, Croatia on April 2 and remains deployed, though its operational status is reduced. It has not been sent home.

Three carrier strike groups are now deployed

Three carrier strike groups are now deployed in support of Operation Epic Fury. Even with the Ford degraded, the Lincoln and the Bush provide two fully operational carrier strike groups in the Persian Gulf, with the Ford still available as a reserve asset in the broader theater, add that to the Tripoli and the Boxer and you have the full picture.

Three carrier strike groups deployed. Two amphibious ready groups converging. A division level airborne command established on the ground.

This is not a defensive posture. This is a force concentration not seen in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Now look at Kharg Island.

On April 7, US strikes hit multiple military targets on the island. Radar. Ammunition storage. Defensive positions. Officials described these as re strikes, indicating a continued effort to degrade what remains of Iran’s defensive capability. At the same time, a senior official confirmed that landing docks were not intentionally targeted.

That matters.

Target selection reveals intent. The pattern points to suppression of defensive systems while preserving infrastructure required for follow on operations. If the objective is destruction, everything is removed. If the objective is control, critical infrastructure is left intact.

The oil facilities remain untouched. That is the center of gravity. Destroy it and you eliminate value. Control it and you control revenue.

Taken together, the strikes align more closely with battlefield preparation than symbolic pressure.

Now layer in the diplomatic timeline.

Pakistan, acting as a mediator, requested a two week extension of the April 8 deadline related to the Strait of Hormuz. That places the revised window around April 22.

The Boxer arrival window falls between April 20 and April 22.

That alignment does not prove coordination, but it strongly suggests that diplomatic timing and force positioning may be operating in parallel.

Extensions buy time. Time allows assets to arrive. Once those assets are in place, options expand.

Here is the current posture.

The Abraham Lincoln is running combat operations in the Arabian Sea. The Bush is entering CENTCOM waters. The Ford remains deployed in the broader theater. Tripoli is already in the Gulf with 3,500 Marines. The 82nd Airborne has forward elements and a division level command structure established. Kharg’s defenses have been degraded in successive strikes while key infrastructure remains intact, and Boxer is en-route with a full Marine Expeditionary Unit and aviation capability.

When Boxer enters CENTCOM waters, the operational equation changes.

The United States will have three carrier strike groups deployed, two amphibious ready groups in theater, a division level airborne headquarters, and sufficient aviation, amphibious, and ground assets to execute a range of options, including seizure, blockade, or enforced control of key maritime terrain.

At that point, the military option is no longer theoretical. It becomes executable.

Watch the window.

April 20 to April 22.

Watch the Boxer, when it enters THE RING. Round two is about to begin shortly. 

This is not over. Not even close.

WRITTEN BY: RICHARD ALLISON